Wednesday, June 17, 2015

WPI Index , May 2015 : “Price-Pull” by Supply or Demand

Any price index indicates the average price movement of a fixed basket of goods and services over time. Depending on whether the changes are to be measured in retail, wholesale or producer prices, an appropriate basket of goods and services is chosen.
On 14th May, the Office of Economic Adviser, Ministry of Commerce & Industry, New Delhi released the WPI Index data for May 2015.

Methodology of Index Calculation
Actual index compilation is done in stages. In the first stage, once the price data is collected, price relative for each price quote is calculated. Price relative is the ratio of the current price to the base price multiplied by 100 i.e. (P1/Po)*100.
In the next stage, commodity/item level index is arrived at as the simple arithmetic average of the price relatives of all the varieties (each quote) included under that commodity. An average of price ratio/relative is used under implicit assumption that each price quotation collected for an item/commodity index compilation has equal importance, i.e., the share of production value is equal.  Whereas if the ratio of average prices is adopted instead, the implicit assumption would be that importance of each price quotation depends on its price level in the base period and all the quantities produced are equal. Since quantities produced at unit level are not equal, the average of price relatives’ method is preferred to arrive at item level index in WPI.
Next, the indices for the sub groups/groups/major groups are compiled and the aggregation method is based on Laspeyres formula as below:

Sunday, June 14, 2015

Analyst Report : IIP Index , June 2015



The quick estimated Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data for the month of April 2015 with base year 2004-05 was released by the Central Statistics Office of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on 12thJune, 2015. The general index for April 2015 has been appreciated by 4.1% compared to its level in April 2014.

Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation compiles IIP index from the inputs given by following 16 source agencies:

1.      Department of Industrial Policy & Promotion (DIPP);
2.      Indian Bureau of Mines;
3.      Central Electricity Authority;
4.      Joint Plant Committee;
5.      Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas;
6.      Office of Textile Commissioner;
7.      Department of Chemicals & Petrochemicals;
8.      Directorate of Sugar;
9.      Department of Fertilizers;
10.  Directorate of Vanaspati, Vegetable Oils & Fats;
11.  Tea Board;
12.  Office of Jute Commissioner;
13.  Office of Coal Controller;
14.  Railway Board;
15.  Office of Salt Commissioner
16.  Coffee Board.

On 12th June 2015, quick estimates of IIP data were published. Standard protocol is to go through first and final revision in coming months eventually.